Research engine for systemic fragility

Utilization leads the collapse cliff.

StressLab is an open-source platform for testing, explaining, and discovering collapse behavior in queue, flow, and dependency networks. Its first flagship studies found that across domains, collapse thresholds are primarily utilization-led, while coupling mainly narrows the failure margin rather than moving the threshold much.

Across 5,000 synthetic systems and five topology families, collapse risk accelerated sharply once baseline utilization entered a shared transition band around 0.10 to 0.19. A controlled follow-up over 2,700 fixed-size synthetic systems plus 144 healthcare variants showed that higher coupling reduced shock margin by about 39.2% while shifting the threshold only modestly.
StressLab main result figure
5,000
systems in the flagship discovery study
0.10-0.19
shared utilization transition band
39.2%
shock-margin reduction under higher coupling in the follow-up
5 + 1
synthetic topology families plus healthcare validation

What was discovered

StressLab found evidence for a shared collapse-onset regime across random queue networks, scale-free networks, small-world networks, hierarchical supply networks, and market microstructure graphs. The cleanest cross-domain signal was utilization, not any single topology label.

The follow-up study sharpened the interpretation: coupling still matters, but it matters most by shrinking the shock margin to failure rather than by moving the threshold itself very far.

Why people should care

This turns resilience planning into a more tractable question. Instead of treating every system as a one-off story, teams can monitor distance to the utilization cliff, track shock margin, and look for shared warning signals such as variance growth and slower recovery.

StressLab packages that logic into a reproducible workflow with synthetic generation, stress search, theory analysis, reporting, and case-study storytelling.

Where to go next

Collapse overlay

Main Finding

See the cross-domain threshold result and the coupling refinement.

Open the main finding page

Static demo preview

Static Demo

Use the GitHub Pages-friendly demo to explore preset scenarios without a backend.

Open the static demo

Healthcare case study

Healthcare Case Study

Turn the abstract result into a concrete overload and intervention story.

Open the case study

Follow-up main result

Reproduce the studies

Use the exact manifests and commands that produced the flagship and follow-up packages.

Open the reproduce guide